Projet PROGRESS (H2020)

Prediction of Geospace Radiation Environment and solar wind parameters

Date de début de projet :

Domaine scientifique principal : Terre & Espace

Résumé / Présentation

The smooth functioning of the European economy and the welfare of its citizens depends upon an ever-growing set of services
and facilities that are reliant on space and ground based infrastructure. Examples include communications (radio, TV, mobile
phones), navigation of aircraft and private transport via GPS, and service industries (e.g. banking). These services, however,
can be adversely affected by the space weather hazards. The forecasting of space weather hazards, driven by the dynamical
processes originating on the sun, is critical to the mitigation of their negative effects. This proposal brings world leading
groups in the fields of space physics and systems science in order to develop an accurate and reliable forecast system for
space weather. It combines their individual strengths to significantly improve the current modelling capabilities within Europe
and to produce a set of forecast tools to accurately predict the occurrence and severity of space weather events. Within
project PROGRESS we will develop an European tool to forecast the solar wind parameters just upstream of the Earth's
magnetosphere. We will develop a comprehensive set of forecasting tools for geomagnetic indices. We will combine the most
accurate data based forecast of electron fluxes at GEO with the most comprehensive physics based model of the radiation
belts currently available to deliver a reliable forecast of radiation environment in the radiation belts. This project will deliver
these individual forecast tools together with a unified tool that combines the forecasting tools with the prediction of the solar
wind parameters at L1 to substantially increase the lead-time of space weather forecasts.

Responsable / porteur / P.I. : Volodoya Krasnoselskikh

Lieu principal : Orléans

Périmètre d'action : International

Tutelle : CNRS

Laboratoires impliqués : LPC2E